FNUS75 KGJT 031040
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST ELK...USFS GMUG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
440 AM MDT FRI MAY 3 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
BURN SITE TODAY AS WEAK RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD IN. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 10 TO 12 MPH AFTER 1300 TODAY CAUSING SMOKE DISPERSAL
TO BE GOOD AT THAT TIME. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM
THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW CAUSING SOME VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM NEAR THE BURN SITE AFTER 1600.
PLENTY OF MIXING WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSAL GOOD SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10
                    TO 12 MPH AFTER 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON AFTER
                    1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...THEO ENGEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130503.WESTE.01/GJT