FNUS75 KBOU 041359 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR EVERGREEN FIRE TRAINING...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 758 AM MDT SAT MAY 4 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0755 MDT ON MAY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS IN PLACE OVER COLORADO TODAY WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE...THERE IS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS AND LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN CAUSING WEAK EASTERLY WINDS AT LOWER AND MID LEVELS. THIS WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. WEAK WINDS AT LOWER...MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL REDUCE THE AMOUNT OF SMOKE DISPERSION...EVEN THOUGH DEEP MIXING LAYERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS THIS MORNING MAY BECOME UNSTABLE ENOUGH IN THE AFTERNOON FOR A FEW RAIN SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50. MIN HUMIDITY........38-46%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7000-7500 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR EVERGREEN FIRE TRAINING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/04-07 14 4 1 28 67 SW 3 3 3 1 WNW 17 1603 S 5 7749 P 05/04-08 14 4 1 33 56 SSW 2 2 3 1 W 17 2891 SSE 5 14534 P 05/04-09 36 4 1 39 46 SSW 2 2 3 1 W 17 4179 SSE 6 21319 P 05/04-10 36 4 1 42 42 S 2 2 3 1 W 16 5585 SSE 6 25213 P 05/04-11 36 4 1 44 40 S 5 5 3 1 W 15 6991 S 5 29106 P 05/04-12 60 9 2 45 40 E 10 10 3 1 W 15 8396 S 5 33000 P 05/04-13 60 9 2 45 41 E 13 13 3 1 W 16 8301 S 5 33419 P 05/04-14 60 9 2 46 40 E 14 22 3 1 W 18 8206 S 5 33839 P 05/04-15 60 26 6 46 40 E 13 13 3 1 W 20 8111 S 5 34258 P 05/04-16 60 26 6 46 40 E 12 12 3 1 W 21 7256 S 6 33222 P 05/04-17 60 26 6 44 44 E 9 9 2 1 W 21 6400 S 6 32186 P 05/04-18 65 10 2 43 47 E 7 7 2 1 W 21 5545 S 7 31150 P 05/04-19 65 10 2 40 54 E 7 7 2 1 W 21 4946 SSE 7 30298 P 05/04-20 65 10 2 37 63 E 8 8 2 1 W 20 4347 SE 8 29446 P 05/04-21 67 10 2 35 69 ESE 8 13 2 1 W 18 3749 SE 9 28594 P 05/04-22 67 10 2 33 75 ESE 7 7 2 1 W 16 3333 SE 9 26294 P 05/04-23 67 10 2 32 75 SE 6 6 3 1 WSW 14 2917 SSE 9 23995 P 05/05-00 54 1 0 32 72 SSE 5 5 3 1 WSW 13 2501 S 10 21695 P 05/05-01 54 1 0 31 70 SSE 5 5 3 1 WSW 16 1942 S 9 16569 P 05/05-02 54 1 0 30 67 S 5 5 3 1 W 20 1383 S 9 11442 P 05/05-03 47 0 0 28 69 S 5 5 3 1 W 23 824 S 9 6315 P 05/05-04 47 0 0 27 71 S 5 5 3 1 W 20 599 S 8 4486 P 05/05-05 47 0 0 26 75 SSW 5 5 3 1 W 18 375 SSW 7 2656 P 05/05-06 41 4 1 27 75 SW 3 3 3 1 W 17 150 SSW 6 826 P 05/05-07 41 4 1 32 64 SSW 3 3 3 1 W 18 1291 SSW 8 11921 P 05/05-08 41 4 1 37 54 SSE 5 5 3 1 WSW 21 2431 SSW 9 23016 P 05/05-09 41 4 1 43 45 SE 5 5 3 1 WSW 23 3571 S 12 34110 P 05/05-10 41 4 1 47 40 SE 5 5 3 1 WSW 22 5629 SSW 12 57682 F 05/05-11 41 4 1 49 38 SE 6 6 3 1 SW 21 7688 SW 12 81254 G 05/05-12 61 28 8 51 36 SE 6 6 3 1 SW 20 9746 SW 13104825 V 05/05-13 61 28 8 52 36 SE 6 6 3 1 SW 20 9992 SW 13105002 V 05/05-14 61 28 8 52 37 ESE 6 6 3 1 WSW 21 10239 SW 12105178 V 05/05-15 61 28 8 52 38 ESE 6 6 3 1 WSW 22 10485 SW 12105354 V 05/05-16 61 28 8 51 41 ESE 5 5 3 1 WSW 23 9105 SW 12 89354 G 05/05-17 61 28 8 49 45 ESE 5 5 3 1 W 23 7724 SW 10 73353 G 05/05-18 65 20 4 47 49 ESE 3 3 3 1 W 23 6343 SW 10 57352 F 05/05-19 65 20 4 44 55 SSE 3 3 3 1 W 22 4804 SSW 9 42457 F 05/05-20 65 20 4 41 61 SSW 3 3 3 1 W 21 3266 SSW 9 27562 P 05/05-21 65 20 4 39 64 SW 5 5 3 1 W 20 1727 S 8 12667 P 05/05-22 65 20 4 37 69 SW 6 6 3 1 W 21 1317 S 9 9945 P 05/05-23 65 20 4 35 73 WSW 6 6 3 1 W 22 906 SSW 10 7223 P 05/06-00 54 10 2 35 72 WSW 7 7 3 1 W 22 495 SSW 10 4501 P 05/06-01 54 10 2 34 75 WSW 8 13 3 1 W 20 438 SSW 12 4124 P 05/06-02 54 10 2 33 78 WSW 8 14 3 1 W 16 381 SW 12 3748 P 05/06-03 54 10 2 32 82 WSW 9 15 3 1 W 13 324 SW 12 3371 P 05/06-04 54 10 2 30 87 WSW 9 16 3 1 WSW 10 335 WSW 10 2976 P 05/06-05 54 10 2 29 89 W 10 16 4 1 SSW 8 347 WSW 9 2581 P 05/06-06 56 9 2 30 85 W 9 15 4 1 SSW 8 359 W 7 2186 P 05/06-07 56 9 2 35 71 W 7 7 4 1 S 9 2725 W 5 4156 P 05/06-08 56 9 2 42 55 W 5 5 3 1 S 13 5091 WNW 3 6126 P 05/06-09 56 9 2 48 46 W 2 2 3 1 S 15 7457 CALM 8096 P 05/06-10 56 9 2 51 42 CALM 1 3 1 S 17 7887 W 3 21942 P 05/06-11 56 9 2 51 43 SSE 2 2 2 1 SSE 18 8317 S 5 35788 P 05/06-12 74 31 10 51 44 ESE 2 2 2 1 SSE 20 8747 SSE 7 49634 F 05/06-13 74 31 10 51 46 ESE 2 2 2 1 S 18 8624 SSE 7 53679 F 05/06-14 74 31 10 51 47 E 3 3 2 1 SSW 17 8500 SSE 8 57724 F 05/06-15 74 31 10 51 48 E 3 3 2 2 SSW 16 8376 SSE 8 61769 G 05/06-16 74 31 10 51 49 SE 5 5 2 2 SSW 16 7668 S 10 66915 G 05/06-17 74 31 10 51 50 S 6 6 2 2 S 16 6961 S 13 72060 G 05/06-18 77 34 13 48 56 SSW 6 6 2 2 S 17 6253 S 14 77206 G 05/06-19 77 34 13 46 60 SSW 5 5 2 2 S 17 5284 S 13 60905 G 05/06-20 77 34 13 44 64 SW 3 3 2 2 SSE 18 4315 SSW 12 44604 F 05/06-21 77 34 13 42 67 SW 3 3 2 2 SSE 18 3346 SSW 9 28303 P 05/06-22 77 34 13 40 71 WSW 5 5 2 2 S 16 2726 SW 13 27259 P 05/06-23 77 34 13 39 72 W 7 7 2 2 S 14 2106 W 16 26215 P 05/07-00 71 22 4 38 73 W 9 15 2 1 SSW 13 1485 W 20 25171 P 05/07-01 71 22 4 37 74 W 12 17 2 1 SSW 13 1181 W 21 20709 P 05/07-02 71 22 4 37 73 W 13 20 3 1 SSW 13 878 W 22 16248 P 05/07-03 71 22 4 36 75 W 13 21 3 1 SW 14 574 W 24 11787 P 05/07-04 71 22 4 34 81 W 12 18 3 1 SW 14 543 W 23 10675 P 05/07-05 71 22 4 33 85 W 9 14 3 1 SW 14 511 W 22 9564 P 05/07-06 65 27 7 34 82 W 7 7 3 1 WSW 13 479 W 21 8452 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...DANKERS REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130504.EVERG.01/BOU