FNUS75 KGJT 041432
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
832 AM MDT SAT MAY 4 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A TIGHTENING NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE STATE WILL INDUCE A STRONGER EAST FLOW THROUGH THE
LOWER PORTIONS OF THE GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY WHICH WILL INFLUENCE
THE WINDS OUT OF AN EAST OR SOUTHEAST DIRECTION OVER THE BURN
AREA. EXPECT GOOD MIXING TO DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON AND CARRY INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. TRANSPORT WINDS TODAY WILL BE OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST UP TO 5000 FT AGL THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST ABOVE THAT
LEVEL. ON SUNDAY THE TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST UP TO 3000
FT AGL BEFORE TURNING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (81700-98200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (16400-22900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (24100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (112800-141200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BEN MOYER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEVENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130504.INDIA.01/GJT