FNUS75 KGJT 051225
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST ELK RX...USFS GMUG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
625 AM MDT SUN MAY 5 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING PACIFIC MOISTURE ACROSS
THE REGION TODAY AND MONDAY.  A DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL BRING INCREASING INSTABILITY FOR UNSETTLED WEATHER BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (25000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT (175000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (90000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...THEO ENGEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130505.WESTE.01/GJT