FNUS72 KMLB 050928
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SP-19...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
528 AM EDT SUN MAY 5 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CURRENT LOW LEVEL WEST WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 MPH AND
THEY WILL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST TOWARDS MIDDAY. OUR SHORT RANGE
MODELS ARE SPLIT ON WHETHER A SEA BREEZE WILL BE ABLE TO FORM. THE
00Z MODELS DID NOT SHOW ONE...HOWEVER THE 06Z MODELS ARE NOW
STARTING TO SHOW A WEAK SEA BREEZE. WE THINK THAT IF ONE FORMS IT
WILL BE QUITE LATE...POSSIBLY NOT EVEN PUSHING ONTO THE MAINLAND.
THE FORECAST WILL SHOW A SLIGHT HINT OF A SEA BREEZE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THE CONFIDENCE FOR ONE TO DEVELOP IS LOW. WE WILL
ADVISE THE DAY SHIFT TO MONITOR AND GIVE YOU A PHONE CALL IF
OBSERVATIONS AND/OR RADAR SHOWS A SEA BREEZE STARTING TO PUSH
INLAND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............72  73  75  76  77  78  79  79  79  78  76  74
RH..............76  71  66  60  56  50  49  47  47  48  52  55
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NNE NNE NNE NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10  12  13  13  10   9   8   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.    15  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............4.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
LVORI...............1.

$$
FORECASTER...LASCODY
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS VANDELLO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130505.SP19_.01/MLB