FNUS75 KPUB 051710
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR O HAVER LAKE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1110 AM MDT SUN MAY 5 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUD COVER WILL HOLD FIRM OVER THE REGION TODAY WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO SLOW WARMING AND DELAY THE ONSET OF ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL AFTER
2 PM.  WINDS SHOULD STAY LIGHT AND SOUTHERLY TODAY AND MIXING WILL
NOT BE AS HIGH AS IT WAS YESTERDAY.  HAVE DECREASED MIXING HEIGHTS
SLIGHTLY IN LATEST FORECAST FOR TODAY. THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE
FOR A RUMBLE OF THUNDER LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT INSTABILITY IS NOT
THAT GREAT WHICH SHOULD LIMIT ANY VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT OF CUMULONIMBUS
CLOUDS AND LIKELY PREVENT ANY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
LEADING TO A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY.  AREA COULD SEE ANYWHERE
FROM .15 TO .25 OF LIQUID ON MONDAY...PERHAPS A LITTLE MORE IF LUCKY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH AROUND 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33F.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 5-10.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130505.OHAVE.01/PUB