FNUS71 KCTP 061022 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR ACOE 417-1...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 622 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN ELEVATED RISK OF BRUSH FIRES EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...WHERE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER DAY OF DRY AND SUNNY WEATHER. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT...LIMITING THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRES. ELSEWHERE...INCREASING CLOUDS AND HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL BRING CLOUDS...HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200-6300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............11 13 22 40 48 51 57 63 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 61 64 67 68 69 70 70 RH..................54 46 42 39 37 36 36 37 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.0 2.7 3.9 5.2 6.2 6.3 6.0 5.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE S S S S SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....8 8 9 12 13 13 13 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700-2400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 77 79 80 82 81 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 66 60 56 54 53 RH..................39 45 56 66 72 80 20 FT WIND..........SE 6 SE 5 E 2 E 1 SE 1 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........4600 2700 2000 2100 2400 1100 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 13 SE 12 SE 14 SE 15 SE 15 SE 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000-7800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............79 80 78 76 74 76 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................53 55 60 65 67 68 RH..................84 83 70 60 55 53 20 FT WIND..........E 3 NE 3 E 5 E 6 E 7 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........800 2300 6100 7800 6900 6500 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 8 SE 12 SE 14 E 15 SE 15 SE 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...THOMAS M SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130506.ACOE4.01/CTP