FNUS71 KCTP 061030 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR UNO FIRE...DCNR, DISTRICT 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 630 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MAY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN ELEVATED RISK OF BRUSH FIRES EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...WHERE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER DAY OF DRY AND SUNNY WEATHER. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT...LIMITING THE SPREAD OF ANY FIRES. ELSEWHERE...INCREASING CLOUDS AND HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL BRING CLOUDS...HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............32 36 45 46 49 54 59 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................58 61 64 65 66 67 67 RH..................53 48 45 44 42 42 42 20 FT WIND DIR......E E SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......8 8 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.8 3.8 4.9 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE S SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 9 9 10 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............65 73 75 77 80 83 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................67 64 59 54 52 51 RH..................44 52 64 76 85 91 20 FT WIND..........SE 8 E 6 E 6 E 5 E 3 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)........5000 4100 3700 2500 700 300 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 SE 13 SE 8 E 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900-6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............85 88 84 78 74 78 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................52 54 60 65 67 69 RH..................92 87 72 62 58 55 20 FT WIND..........E 6 NE 6 E 8 E 9 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........200 900 4300 6500 6700 6800 TRANSPORT WIND......E 5 E 8 E 13 E 15 E 15 SE 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...CHAD NORTHCRAFT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130506.UNOFI.02/CTP