FNUS73 KDTX 061201
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRD HILLS V2 0...ANN ARBOR PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
801 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 06.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE AVERAGE AGAIN TODAY WITH RH VALUES
FALLING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS MAY GUST TO
AROUND 20 KNOTS NEAR THE OHIO BORDER. HOWEVER...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN AT OR BELOW 10 KNOTS IN THE SAGINAW VALLEY AND THUMB REGIONS.
RH VALUES WILL INCREASE TO 85 TO 95 PERCENT AGAIN TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...600).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........44  45  46  48  50  51  53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68  70  71  71  71  70  69
RH..............36  33  33  32  32  33  37
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   9   10  10  10  9
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  20  20  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.8 5.3 5.6
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   4   4   4   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...200 300 300 400 400 500 600

$$
FORECASTER...MANN
REQUESTED BY...DAVID BORNEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130506.BIRDH.01/DTX