FNUS72 KMLB 060914
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SP-17...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
514 AM EDT MON MAY 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE BURN SITE EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. LIGHT SPRINKLES OR A BRIEF SHOWER
MAY ACCOMPANY THIS BOUNDARY...THOUGH THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS
RELATIVELY DRY. IT APPEARS THAT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE WEAK
ENOUGH NEAR THE BURN AREA TO ALLOW FOR FORMATION OF THE EAST COAST
SEA BREEZE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THE SEA BREEZE WILL BE SLOW TO
MOVE INLAND DUE TO THE WESTERLY FLOW. THE FEELING IS THAT THIS FEATURE
MAY MAKE IT TO I-95 BY LATE IN THE DAY BUT NOT MUCH FURTHER. SHORT
TERM MODELS TRY TO SQUEEZE OUT A SHOWER OR TWO ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
BUT AS WAS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED THE ATMOSPHERE IS FAIRLY MOISTURE
STARVED SO WILL ONLY KEEP A SMALL THREAT MENTIONED HERE. FOG POTENTIAL
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING IS LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING SOUTH TO EAST-SOUTHEAST 9
                    TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............67  72  76  77  78  80  80  80  81  78  76  73
RH..............70  59  54  50  48  44  44  44  42  47  50  55
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   8   8   9   9   10  12  12  12  9   7
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  10  12  15  15  15  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS VANDELLO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130506.SP17_.01/MLB