FNUS75 KPUB 061343
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR O HAVER LAKE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
743 AM MDT MON MAY 6 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS MORNING WILL
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE DAY.  SHOWERS ARE
ALREADY VISIBLE ON RADAR OVER THE NORTHERN END OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
HEADED NORTH TOWARD THE BURN SITE.  PERIODS OF SHOWERS...SNOW AND
RAIN...TO FOLLOW THROUGH THE DAY WITH PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS GENERALLY
IN THE RANGE OF 0.10" TO 0.25".  WET SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH
OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE.  SKIES WILL LIKELY REMAIN CLOUDY OR MOSTLY
CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY.

SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE NOCTURNALLY TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...IT WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS A LARGE...SLOW MOVING
UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WET SNOW POSSIBLE
                    AT TIMES ACCUMULATING LOCALLY TO AN INCH OR TWO.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION AROUND 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHERLY 5-15 MPH.  LOCAL CONVECTIVELY DRIVEN
                    WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS. LOCAL WET SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AN
                    INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WINDS GOING TO SLOPE/VALLEY CIRCULATIONS 5-10 MPH
                    ASIDE FROM LOCALLY DRIVEN CONVECTIVE WINDS EARLY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2200. POOR AFTER 0500.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0800.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...MTN ZONE AFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130506.OHAVE.01/PUB