FNUS72 KMHX 071136 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR C-55...CAMP LEJEUNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 736 AM EDT TUE MAY 7 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA TODAY THEN LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH OF THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST SATURDAY AND PUSH THROUGH THE AREA ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............66 76 76 68 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ LIKELY LIKELY TEMP................67 69 70 69 RH..................65 59 59 63 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 S 6 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 LVORI...............3 1 1 1 ADI.................38 38 37 37 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............64 57 54 50 47 50 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............LIKELY SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................67 63 60 58 57 56 RH..................65 72 84 92 94 100 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....13 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 4 5 6 10 ADI.................30 12 10 6 4 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............54 57 63 60 58 60 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................55 59 64 68 70 70 RH..................100 90 75 63 59 61 20 FT WIND..........SW 1 SW 2 SW 5 S 7 S 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 15 15 LVORI...............10 6 4 1 1 1 ADI.................2 5 9 43 44 53 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130507.C55__.01/MHX