FNUS75 KRIW 062106
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOLIGAN SPRINGS...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
306 PM MDT MON MAY 6 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN A THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
TODAY...WITH ACTIVITY TAPERING OFF WITH THE LOSS OF DAYLIGHT.
A BRIEF LULL IN SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE FOUND OVERNIGHT. AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH ANOTHER ROUND OF MOISTURE OVER THE AREA
ON TUESDAY...INTRODUCING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY LOOK MORE POTENT ACROSS THE BURN SITE...WITH
A BETTER OPPORTUNITY FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THE TODAY PERIOD...WITH AN INCREASE IN
GENERAL WIND EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AT 9-12 MPH.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (25000-56800 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTY UNTIL 0100.
                    THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    EARLY AFTER 0400.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    BY 0300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (38000-70400 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-37 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH BY 1500.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AT 15 TO 20 MPH BY 1400.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4 UNTIL 1500...THEN 5.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.11 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4800-5800 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY 1100...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH BY 1500.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (29400-77000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...RANCE NEIGHBORS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130507.HOOLI.01/RIW