FNUS75 KTFX 071021
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALICE CREEK...USFS TOWNSEND RANGER DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
421 AM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE BORDER NEAR DAYBREAK TODAY
THEN SPREAD TO THE BURN AREA BY LATE MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT BUT WEAKEN TONIGHT AND BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WEDNESDAY. WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AFTER 2 PM MDT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................NEAR 0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    10 TO 15 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
RIDGE TOP WIND......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BLANK
REQUESTED BY...OWEN JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130507.ALICE.01/TFX