FNUS73 KDLH 081455
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LINDSKOG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
955 AM CDT WED MAY 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0950 CDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN CONCERNS FOR THIS SPOT FORECAST ARE THE MOVEMENT AND
TIMING OF A WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT TODAY...AND CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED OVER NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA AT MID
MORNING...LOCATED JUST WEST OF INTERNATIONAL FALLS. THIS FRONT
WILL MOVE EASTWARD...ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN MINNESOTA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH COOK COUNTY
AND PRESCRIBED BURN LOCATION BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM. BEFORE THE FRONT
ARRIVES...LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS GENERALLY AROUND 5 MPH OR
LESS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OFF LAKE SUPERIOR COULD LEAD TO LOCALLY
COOLER CONDITIONS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON JUST BEFORE
THE FRONT ARRIVES. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED UNTIL EARLY
AFTERNOON...WHEN CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE
WITH THE FRONT. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 2 AND 8 PM.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH/NORTHWEST FROM 5 TO 10 MPH THIS
EVENING AFTER THE FRONT PASSES...AND SHOULD BECOME NORTHEAST AT
8 TO 13 MPH LATER TONIGHT. THERE COULD BE LOCALLY HIGHER WIND
GUSTS UP TO 15 TO 20 MPH FOR SHORT PERIODS OF TIME NEAR ANY
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 3
                    MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 7
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000).

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............63     61     60     60     59
RH..............39     59     59     60     66
20 FT WIND DIR..S      SW     W      NW     N
20 FT WIND SPD..3      4      5      6      7
20 FT WIND GUST.       8      8      7      8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
                    THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100) INCREASING TO FAIR (17500).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............56     52     49     46     45     43
RH..............76     79     86     93     89     86
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     NE     NE     N      NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..8      8      9      9      10     10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     17     14     16

$$
FORECASTER...DAN
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA OSSEFOORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130508.LINDS.01/DLH