FNUS75 KGJT 080025
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAMARISK PROGRAMATIC...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
625 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW WILL BE STALLED OVER THE 4 CORNERS REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER PIECE OF ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE LOW WILL
BRING AN EARLY START TO THE PRECIPITATION WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE BY SUNRISE. THE MAIN
AREA OF SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
DAY. HOWEVER INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN OVER THE MOAB AREA AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE.
THIS INSTABILITY SHOULD HOWEVER LEAD TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL BY THE
AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS UNDER THE LOW SHOULD LEAVE THE TERRAIN TO
DETERMINE THE WIND DIRECTIONS. HOWEVER SHOWER ACTIVITY AND OUTFLOW
WINDS WILL BE UNPREDICTABLE AND GUSTY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING IN COVERAGE TO
                    SCATTERED BY LATE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWN CANYON AT 3 TO 8 MPH THROUGH 1100 THEN
                    BECOMING UP CANYON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR THROUGH MID MORNING THEN INCREASING
                    TO GOOD BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......550 BY 1000 INCREASING TO 1050 BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...JASON KIRKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130508.TAMAR.01/GJT