FNUS74 KLZK 081124 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR M O REDBUCK SP 1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 624 AM CDT WED MAY 8 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AROUND 5 TO 7 MPH BY MID MORNING. RH LEVELS SHOULD NOT DROP TOO LOW TODAY...THOUGH MIXED LAYER DEPTH AND AFTERNOON HEATING WILL PUSH THEM DOWN TO AROUND 40 PERCENT. SHOULD SEE AFTERNOON CUMULUS FIELD DEVELOP AROUND 5000 FT AGL OR SO THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE STATE CANNOT BE RULED OUT TODAY...BUT COVERAGE WILL BE EXTREMELY SPARSE AND THE CHANCES ONE WOULD AFFECT THE BURN SITE ARE IN THE 10 PERCENT OR LESS RANGE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY STRAY SHOWER WOULD BE IN THE NORTHERN PARTS OF ARKANSAS. OTHERWISE THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO SPEAK OF TODAY. ON THURSDAY...A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE. A WETTING RAIN IS FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE STATE BETWEEN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6200 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5224 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............70 74 77 79 80 81 81 RH..............59 51 47 43 42 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 6 7 7 6 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 13 12 12 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58. RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3100 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2158 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 78 75 71 68 66 65 63 62 61 60 59 RH..............44 48 55 64 69 74 78 82 85 88 91 95 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130508.MORED.02/LZK