FNUS72 KMFL 081249
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC SW 5...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
849 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.,
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY. AS IT DOES,
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THE
COMBINATION OF THE TWO WILL KEEP LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WITH LOCAL SEA BREEZES.
IT WILL ALSO KEEP QUIET, DRY WEATHER IN THE FORECAST FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON AT THE
FIRE SITE WILL LIKELY DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT BUT REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. THE LOW LEVEL WIND WILL ALSO BECOME 5 TO 10
MPH AND THIS WILL ALLOW THE DISPERSION TO BEGIN POOR TO FAIR BUT
BECOME GENERALLY GOOD BY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........4      4      4      25     25     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65     78     85     87     86     81
RH..............77     49     38     35     36     45
20 FT WIND......N 0    S 3    S 3    S 6    SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   2900   2900   4300   4000   4000
MIXNG WIND......N 0    S 5    S 5    S 10   SW 10  SW 10
DISPERSION IDX..0      23     23     41     39     39
LVORI...........5      2      2      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 39 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 41.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ESTUPINAN
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130508.BCSW5.01/MFL