FNUS72 KMLB 081151
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR COQUINA RD NORTH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
751 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WITH THE LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST...EXPECT LIGHTER AND LESS GUSTY WEST
WINDS THIS MORNING, WHICH WILL SHIFT TO EASTERLY AS THE EAST COAST
SEAS BREEZE DEVELOPS AND PUSHES THROUGH THE BURN AREA EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.

WINDS SHOULD BECOME LIGHT TO NEAR CALM AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN UNDERESTIMATING LVORI VALUES...SO WHILE THE MODEL
IS GIVING A VALUE OF 6...I WOULD EXPECT ACTUAL LVORI VALUES NEAR 8
WHICH MAY LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED SETTLING OF SMOKE AND THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SHALLOW FOG/SMOKE MIXTURE NEAR THE BURN AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO 8
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............66  68  71  74  75  77  78  78  78  78  78  76
RH..............86  80  73  68  62  60  56  54  54  54  58  64
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   S   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.                    10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6 TO 8.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130508.COQUI.01/MLB