FNUS72 KMLB 081155
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOMEZ GRANTLINE EAST...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
755 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WITH THE LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST...EXPECT LIGHTER AND LESS GUSTY WEST
WINDS THIS MORNING, WHICH WILL SHIFT TO EASTERLY AS THE EAST COAST
SEAS BREEZE DEVELOPS AND PUSHES THROUGH THE BURN AREA EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.

WINDS SHOULD BECOME LIGHT TO NEAR CALM AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN UNDERESTIMATING LVORI VALUES...SO WHILE THE MODEL
IS GIVING A VALUE OF 6...I WOULD EXPECT ACTUAL LVORI VALUES NEAR 8
WHICH MAY LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED SETTLING OF SMOKE AND THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SHALLOW FOG/SMOKE MIXTURE NEAR THE BURN AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST
                    6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............71  75  76  78  80  79  79  79  76  74  71  70
RH..............63  55  54  50  47  49  47  47  54  59  66  68
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   SW  ESE ESE E   E   ESE SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6 TO 8.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130508.GOMEZ.01/MLB