FNUS73 KMQT 080957 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR DICK SETTLEMENT BISCUIT CRK RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 557 AM EDT WED MAY 8 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 EDT ON MAY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY...WHICH WILL PRODUCE WEATHER SIMILAR TO THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. UNDER SUNNY SKIES...EXPECT DEEP MIXING INTO DRIER AIR ALOFT...WHICH WILL LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE MID-UPPER TEENS. THERE IS A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY IN HOW LOW THE RH VALUES WILL GO DUE TO SOUTHWEST LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. BASED ON DRY AIR BEHIND THE LAKE BREEZE THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND LIMITED RH RECOVERY EARLY THIS MORNING...FEEL CONFIDENT THEY WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS. AS FOR RH VALUES RISING ABOVE 30 PERCENT...IT WILL LIKELY BE AROUND OR AFTER SUNSET BEFORE THAT OCCURS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE BURN SITE TONIGHT...WHICH WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE NORTH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAIN CHANCES ARE LIMITED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY MORNING INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 14 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE MORNING. GUSTS TO 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (495) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (721) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (820) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (240) EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 9400-11700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4000 FT AGL AROUND SUNSET. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........23 16 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TEMP............79 74 RH..............14 18 GENERAL WIND....SW 8 SW 6 GENERAL GUST....14 12 VINDX KT-FT/100.721 240 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 W 7 MIX HGT (FT)....10300 4000 HAINES INDEX....5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 69 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY LATE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 13 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (1). MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........13 17 21 25 44 64 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 59 52 50 47 47 RH..............22 35 48 56 66 69 GENERAL WIND....SW 4 SW 4 W 4 NW 5 NW 5 N 5 GENERAL GUST....6 6 5 6 6 6 VINDX KT-FT/100.69 1 9 13 15 14 TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 W 6 W 6 W 6 NW 7 NW 9 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 BLW100 200 300 300 200 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 66. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 42 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (322). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........83 86 90 93 95 98 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 60 65 66 63 59 RH..............63 48 42 43 44 48 GENERAL WIND....N 6 N 6 N 7 N 8 N 8 N 9 GENERAL GUST....9 9 15 17 17 18 VINDX KT-FT/100.25 127 259 322 279 286 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 N 13 N 13 N 12 N 12 N 16 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2400 3200 2800 2000 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SRF REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130508.DICKS.01/MQT