FNUS75 KRIW 072221
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOLIGAN SPRINGS...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
421 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE BACK EAST AROUND THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE BURN SITE. CONFIDENCE IN THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE BURN SITE IS LOW...WITH WEAK COVERAGE
ANTICIPATED. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF GENERAL
SHOWER ACTIVITY...HOWEVER...THOUGH A WETTING RAIN IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. SHOULD THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...GUSTY
WIND TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BY 1300. ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS...INCREASING TO SCATTERED BY 1300
                    WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH-NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST BY 1500.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.9 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-7200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST BY
                    0900...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST BY 1500.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (47200-63800 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...RANCE NEIGHBORS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130508.HOOLI.01/RIW