FNUS73 KUNR 081529
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLE FOURCHE RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
929 AM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY. ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE BEAR LODGE THIS AFTERNOON
SHOULD DRIFT SOUTH...AND REMAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE AREA.
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST LATER THIS MORNING...AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
LOWER 70S WITH THE AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO
AROUND 22 PERCENT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE
EXCELLENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 TO 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...KENN PERREAULT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130508.BELLE.01/UNR