FNUS75 KCYS 091741
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN CREEK RX...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1141 AM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL PRODUCE INCREASING COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
EXPECT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 30 MPH NEAR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END AFTER EARLY THIS
EVENING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AFTER 2 PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (43300-83000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2100-41800 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTH 10 TO
                    13 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (36900-148700 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...RUBIN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS OTTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130509.MORGA.01/CYS