FNUS73 KDLH 091909
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSEFENCE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
209 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1410 CDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BIG CHANGE SHOULD BE ONGOING AT THE START OF
THE PRESCRIBED BURN...AS MUCH DRIER AIR PUSHES IN FROM THE NORTH.
SKIES WILL CLEAR RAPIDLY...AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL MARKEDLY DROP.
HUMIDITY TIMING IS TOUGH GIVEN NO OBSERVATIONS DIRECTLY NORTH OF
YOUR AREA. BUT HUMIDITY AT THE BORDER IS AROUND 30 PERCENT. TOOK
IT INTO THE MID 40S...BUT THERE IS SOME CHANCE IT COULD BE EVEN
LOWER IF THAT DRY AIR CAN RACE IN THERE EARLIER THAN THOUGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY VERY EARLY...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34000) DECREASING TO FAIR (20900) LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............49     48     47
RH..............64     46     47
20 FT WIND DIR..N      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..5      8      7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11800) DECREASING TO POOR (1950) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO
                    POOR (7100) LATE.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............45     38     34     33     31     31
RH..............49     59     61     59     63     66
20 FT WIND DIR..E      NE     NE     NE     NE     E
20 FT WIND SPD..6      4      3      6      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.7      5      5      7      7      7

$$
FORECASTER...DEAN P.
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA OSSEFOORT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130509.MOOSE.01/DLH