FNUS74 KLUB 091545 FWSLUB FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR LUBBOCK SPILL...CITY OF LUBBOCK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1045 AM CDT THU MAY 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1037 CDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH THROUGH THE LUBBOCK AREA BUT IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A DRYLINE BECOMES ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENT FORECAST THINKING IS THAT THE DRYLINE WILL BE EAST OF THE LUBBOCK AREA WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS. HOWEVER..GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE...VIRGA SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CITY OF LUBBOCK THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER ANY VIRGA SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP. INTO THIS EVENING...THE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE A RESURGENCE TO THE SOUTH WEST ONCE AGAIN WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THERE EXISTS SOME POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN WITH THE OVERNIGHT SHOWERS/TS BUT FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ONLY MODERATE AT THIS TIME. RAIN ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13300-15000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........48 48 47 44 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 71 77 81 RH..............53 35 26 21 20 FT WIND......N 8 N 2 NW 2 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0100...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......12400-13400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 22 TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 8 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........46 50 61 69 71 71 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............80 76 69 65 61 59 RH..............21 26 39 49 57 65 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 10 NE 11 NE 7 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 25 15 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................40 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0700...THEN 3 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 6 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........71 73 81 88 88 82 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............57 56 59 63 65 66 RH..............69 72 66 61 56 55 20 FT WIND......NE 6 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6 NE 6 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...JURECKA REQUESTED BY...C ADDINGTON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20130509.LUBBO.01/LUB