FNUS74 KLZK 091201 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR JOB CORP FIREWISE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 701 AM CDT THU MAY 9 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ARE PROBABLY AROUND 30 PERCENT OR SO...THEN INCREASING TO 50-60 PERCENT THIS EVENING. AS FOR WINDS AND RH LEVELS...WINDS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT GUSTY ONCE THE MIXED LAYER DEEPENS A LITTLE LATER THIS MORNING. EYE LEVEL WIND GUSTS AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD GET UP TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. RH LEVELS SHOULD NOT DROP TOO LOW...BOTTOMING OUT AROUND 50 PERCENT OR SO. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON COULD EASILY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS THAT EXCEED 30 MPH...BUT IT IS TOO HARD TO SAY WHETHER THAT WILL OCCUR AT THE BURN SITE OR NOT. SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RH RECOVERY IS THEREFORE EXPECTED TO BE VERY GOOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY OCCUR THROUGH 9 AM. OTHERWISE...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTS TO AROUND 10 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3544 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............73 75 77 78 79 79 RH..............63 59 55 53 52 51 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND GST.8 10 10 10 9 7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 20 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64. RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 1 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 1900 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1464 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM TEMP............78 76 75 73 72 70 69 68 67 66 65 65 RH..............53 56 59 62 66 69 72 75 78 80 82 83 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S SE SE S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 4 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW S S S S SE SE S S SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S SE SE S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 12 9 7 5 2 1 1 1 2 3 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...BEN ROWLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130509.JOBCO.01/LZK