FNUS73 KUNR 091132
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLE FOURCHE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
532 AM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0514 MDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN AREA
TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
MORNING...BRINGING A PERIOD OF BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH
ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH LATE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 TO 7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...TREVOR PAPENFUSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130509.BELLE.01/UNR