FNUS75 KGJT 102343
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG LAKE...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
543 PM MDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1740 MDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE WILL
QUICKLY DIE DOWN THIS EVENING ONCE THE SUN SETS. AFTER
THAT...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AS RIDGING TRIES TO BUILD
IN. FOR SATURDAY... ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER UTAH
AND COLORADO BUT PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE FAVORED OVER THE
WESTERN UINTAHS AND AREAS SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE. DEEP MIXING WILL
OCCUR IN THE AFTERNOON CAUSING VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS THAT HAVE BEEN GENERALLY NORTHEAST TO EAST
WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST BY NOON SATURDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 5 MPH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR AFTER 2100 AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST-
                    SOUTHWEST BY NOON AT 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130510.HOGLA.03/GJT