FNUS76 KLOX 092233
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO 6...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
333 PM PDT THU MAY 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1245 PDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER ARIZONA WILL MOVE TO THE EAST ON
FRIDAY...AND SLOWLY BE REPLACED BY A RIDGE FROM THE WEST. THIS
SHIFT WILL LOWER HUMIDITIES AND DAMPEN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR
FRIDAY...AND BRING NOTICEABLE WARMING. BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FORM THROUGH THE I-5 CORRIDOR FRIDAY MORNING...AND THERE IS A
SMALL CHANCE THAT THEY IMPACT THE BURN SITE. AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WINDS WILL BE ONSHORE...BUT WILL BE WEAKER AND MORE
WESTERLY THAN THURSDAY. MORNING MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE SHOULD BE
ON THE DECREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. MORE WARMING
AND DRYING EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........84 AT IGNITION...MAX 88.
RH..................26 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND....
 EYE-LEVEL VALLEY...AT IGNITION...VARIABLE 2 MPH.
                    OTHERWISE...NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH BY 3 PM.
 RIDGETOP...........AT IGNITION...NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
                    OTHERWISE...NORTH 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY 3 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL RISING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....
 EYE-LEVEL VALLEY...SOUTHWEST 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH 2 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING LOWERING
                    TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KITTELL
REQUESTED BY...RUDY GILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130510.RANCH.01/LOX