FNUS72 KMLB 101202
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC17...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
802 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE ATMOSPHERE IS STARTING OFF QUITE DRY...SO THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
WILL NOT GENERATE SHOWERS/STORMS LATE THIS MORNING AND IN THE AFTERNOON.
A LATE DAY COLLISION OF THE EAST/WEST COAST SEA BREEZES IS FORECAST TO
OCCUR OVER LAKE COUNTY NEAR SUNSET. THIS SHOULD GENERATE ISOLATED STORMS.
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY PUSH BACK TO THE COAST DURING THE LATE EVENING.
THE ATMOSPHERE LOOKS MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE ON SATURDAY...SO THERE IS A
HIGHER CHANCE FOR STORMS AND THEY SHOULD OCCUR EARLIER...EVEN THOUGH THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MAY NOT EVEN FORM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                                        SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                                        TSM TSM
TEMP............76  80  81  82  84  85  86  84  81  78  74  73
RH..............64  56  54  53  49  50  48  51  56  64  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   9   10  10  12  13  13  10  8   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.        10          15  15  15      10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.

$$
FORECASTER...LASCODY
REQUESTED BY...EMILY WEHR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130510.BC17_.01/MLB