FNUS72 KMLB 102350
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC17...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
750 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1510 EDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL MAINTAIN A WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVERNIGHT. UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE BURN SITE
ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE OVERNIGHT WITH SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT TO CALM.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
WILL COUPLE WITH HIGH SURFACE HUMIDITY TO ALLOW FOR PATCHY/SHALLOW
GROUND FOG TO DEVELOP. FOG WILL HAVE A HIGH POTENTIAL TO BECOME
LOCALLY DENSE NEAR SMOLDERING FIRES IN THE PREDAWN HOURS OF SATURDAY
MORNING.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH LATE EVENING...THEN
x09x09   BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR WITH PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY.......97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                   BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....10 PERCENT.
LAL................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......100-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                   AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX...2.
LVORI..............9.

TIME (EDT)         8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%)............MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  MCL MCL MCL MCL MCL
WEATHER COV........                                PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.......                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
TEMP...............75  74  73  72  71  71  70  70  69  69  69  68
RH.................76  79  81  81  84  87  90  87  90  90  93  97
20 FT WIND DIR.....SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  C   C   C   SW
20 FT WIND SPD.....9   8   6   5   3   2   2   1   0   0   0   2
20 FT WIND GUST....10  10


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
x09x09   EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY.......57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY
x09x09   IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....40 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4500 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH
x09x09   LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX...71.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130510.BC17_.02/MLB