FNUS72 KMLB 110009
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR US441 AND SR 69...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
809 PM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1510 EDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TOWARDS DAYBREAK
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY HIGH LVORI VALUES. THE POSSIBLE LIMITING FACTOR FOR
FOG FORMATION WILL BE CLOUD COVER. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING INTO THE AREA BUT THE OVERCAST SKIES LOOK TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
BURN SITE. ANY FOG FORMATION COULD BE DENSE...ESPECIALLY IN THE IMMEDIATE AREA
OF THE FIRE.

WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLIPS A BIT FARTHER SOUTH. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL NOT BE ABLE
TO MOVE INLAND BUT AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED BOTH
WITH EXTENSIVE DAYTIME HEATING AND THE PROPAGATION ACROSS THE PENINSULA OF
THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............10.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72  72  71  70  69
RH..............67  71  76  79  82  84  84  87  87  90  97  100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   5   3   2   2   1   1   1   2
20 FT WIND GUST.                    5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130510.US441.01/MLB