FNUS72 KTAE 101035
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 805...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
635 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GRADUALLY INCREASES AHEAD OF A
FRONT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE
SOMEWHAT SCATTERED...SO SOME AREAS MAY RECEIVE WETTING RAINS WHILE
OTHERS MAY NOT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SOME AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE
EARLY THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN TONIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAXIMUM VALUES AROUND 55.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........55     60     65     70
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     75     78     78
RH..............73     64     56     57
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 6    S 7    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     12     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 5.

TIME (CDT)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........68     71     71     73     75     75
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  RNSHWR
TEMP............76     74     70     68     67     67
RH..............66     71     87     94     99     99
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 5    S 4    S 3    S 3    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     8      7      5      5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAXIMUM VALUES AROUND 40.

TIME (CDT)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........75     75     75     82     90     90
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............67     67     73     77     78     79
RH..............99     99     84     74     72     67
20 FT WIND......S 2    SE 2   S 3    SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      6      10     10     10

$$

FORECASTER...ALEX LAMERS
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130510.805__.01/TAE