FNUS72 KJAX 111145
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS WESTSIDE...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
745 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
CROSSING THE AREA SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SUNDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BY THIS
AFTERNOON...LOCALLY GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
SUNDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....46 INCREASING TO 81.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........39     47     62     67     74
WEATHER COV.....              SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     83     87     87     86
RH..............85     66     51     46     52
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 9   SW 10  W 13   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   3800   5000   5000   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14  SW 17  W 20   W 20   W 18
DISPERSION INDX.46     66     81     81     57
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     30     50     50
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....47 DECREASING TO 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........74     72     70     68     70     73
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............84     79     74     71     69     67
RH..............52     66     78     84     88     92
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 9    W 5    SW 2   SW 5   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15            5             10
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   1600   1200   800    400    800
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17   W 14   W 10   W 8    W 6    W 6
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      5      6
DISPERSION INDX.47     17     8      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     30     20     20     20     20
LAL.............2      2      1      2      2      2

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 46.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...MARLENE BULLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130511.WILDE.01/JAX