FNUS72 KMFL 111250
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HULL-BEAR PEN...JAMES HULL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
850 AM EDT SAT MAY 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. LATEST SHORT TERM MODELS
DEPICT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS INTERIOR
LOCATIONS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON PROVIDING CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS
ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 54 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 42 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........33     33     33     39     39     39
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............77     87     91     90     87     81
RH..............83     57     49     49     54     66
20 FT WIND......SE 2   S 5    S 5    S 7    SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   4700   4700   4900   4100   4100
MIXNG WIND......SE 5   S 9    S 9    S 14   SW 12  SW 12
DISPERSION IDX..17     52     52     56     42     42
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      2      2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 1 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 47 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...JAMES HULL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130511.HULLB.01/MFL