FNUS75 KMSO 111735
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED RIVER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1135 AM MDT SAT MAY 11 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED MONDAY WITH DANGEROUS WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING DOWN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH SOME BREAKS OF SUN IN BETWEEN.
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON, AS CLOUD BASES LOWER, THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THREAT AT
THIS TIME APPEARS LOW, BUT AS THE WEEKEND CONTINUES, CONVECTION
POTENTIAL INCREASES DRAMATICALLY, ESPECIALLY MONDAY WHEN WINDS AND
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD AND POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TO
FIRE OPERATIONS.

FOR NOW...TODAY LOOKS LIKE THE BEST DAY THROUGH MONDAY...WITH
PREDOMINANTLY LIGHT, TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS AND MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS...BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5-6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    7-9 MPH WITH INTERMITTENT GUSTS 12-15 MPH
                    THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...MARGARET WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130511.CROOK.01/MSO