FNUS75 KMSO 122134
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED RIVER 46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
334 PM MDT SUN MAY 12 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1540 PDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TWO BIGGEST CONCERNS WILL BE WINDS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND MONDAY. MONDAY WILL BE ESPECIALLY ACTIVE
(STRONGER WINDS AND STRONG STORMS) AS A WELL-DEFINED, BUT SLOW
MOVING SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BE PASSING THROUGH CENTRAL IDAHO.
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE AREA.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3-6 MPH LATER THIS EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-5 MPH AFTER DARK.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WITH STORMS.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-18
                    MPH AND GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 MPH
                    WITH STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MSJ
REQUESTED BY...JOSLYN OSBORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130512.CROOK.01/MSO