FNUS73 KAPX 131551 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR S BRANCH BARRENS...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1151 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON MAY 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR AND HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN OVER THE PROPOSED BURN SITE TODAY RESULTING IN LOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS. WINDS DO LIGHTEN UP GOING THROUGH TONIGHT WITH HUMIDITY RECOVERY GOOD INTO THE EVENING...WITH PATCHY FROST EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES RISE A BIT OVERNIGHT WITH THE ARRIVAL OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES. LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS AND MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WITH SOME SPRINKLES OR A LIGHT SHOWER POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING. WINDS ALSO BECOMING GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 20 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 51. RH..................23 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6400-6700 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1100) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1400). TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........53 34 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 51 51 RH..............23 21 20 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 SMOKE DISP......11001000900 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........27 27 26 31 41 51 61 71 76 82 94 100 WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY CHC WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST FST FST RW TEMP............51 51 50 46 40 34 33 34 35 35 35 35 RH..............20 21 22 29 42 61 66 64 61 61 64 66 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59. RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 95 88 83 79 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............36 40 45 51 56 59 RH..............67 79 70 68 64 60 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...TIM LOCKER REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130513.SBRAN.01/APX