FNUS72 KMFL 131751
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLEY LAND 1...FL. D.O.F.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
151 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS PLENTY OF ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT, THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA SOMETIME THIS EVENING. AHEAD OF IT,
THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING. ALTHOUGH,
THE LIKELIHOOD OF THEM OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON IS DIMINISHING AS CLOUD COVER
MOVES IN. THE BURN SITE SHOULD BE ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF WHERE ANY CONVECTION
INITIATES IF IT EVEN CAN, MEANING A LOW CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRE
TODAY. BEHIND THE FRONT, A DRIER AIR MASS WILL MOVE IN, BRINGING QUIETER
WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. CURRENTLY, THERE IS NO FOG FORECAST
FOR THE AREA TONIGHT. THE THOUGHT IS THAT WITH WINDS CONTINUING OVERNIGHT, AND
A DRIER AIR MASS MOVING IN, IT WILL BE HARD TO START FORMING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 59 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........45     45     45     42     42     42
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............85     84     82     78     74     71
RH..............59     61     67     77     79     80
20 FT WIND......NW 7   NW 7   N 6    NE 6   NE 6   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4000   4000   700    700    700
MIXNG WIND......NW 16  NW 16  N 15   NE 13  NE 13  NE 10
DISPERSION IDX..60     60     56     11     11     10
LVORI...........1      1      1      4      4      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     10     10     10
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IPPOLITI
REQUESTED BY...BILL BERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130513.HOLEY.01/MFL