FNUS75 KMSO 131717
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED RIVER 44
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1117 AM MDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA
BY EARLY THIS EVENING.  IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT...INCREASING WINDS
SHOULD DEVELOP.  IN ADDITION..THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE
THIS AFTERNOON.  A COMBINATION OF THE FRONT AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE
SHOULD SUPPORT POSSIBLE STRONG CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.   A DRIER AND COOLER WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.  STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
                    TO 50 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-7 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
                    GUSTS POSSIBLE NEAR ANY STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO ABOVE 10000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
                    EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
                    THEN...SHOWERS ENDING BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WIND 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS 40 MPH...DECREASING
                    TO 3-6 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 8
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...TRISHA SKINNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130513.CROOK.01/MSO