FNUS75 KMSO 131737
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CYCLONE REID
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1137 AM MDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1125 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOMING INCREASINGLY MOIST ALOFT
AND VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.  A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS
THIS BURN AREA EARLY THIS EVENING SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
WIND. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST STORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON AND PASSAGE OF FRONT SHOULD REMAIN TO THE
SOUTH OF THIS BURN AREA.  A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW AND COOLER AIR MASS
IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
                    OF A THUNDERSTORM.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 40 MPH GUSTS BY LATE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS ENDING BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-19 MPH...DECREASING TO 5-7 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE EVENING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE CLOUDS...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130513.CYCLO.01/MSO