FNUS75 KMSO 131749
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR GARDEN CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1149 AM MDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOMING INCREASINGLY MOIST ALOFT
AND VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.  A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS
THIS BURN AREA EARLY THIS EVENING SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
WIND.  ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY
DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA.  A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW AND COOLER
AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF A LIGHT SHOWER
                    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.  STRONG GUSTY WINDS
                    TO 55-55 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 10-17 MPH BY MID
                    AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
                    STRONGER GUSTS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS ENDING BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING.  WIND BECOMING SOUTH AND DECREASING TO
                    5-10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS INCREASING TO 7-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...JACK CURRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130513.GARDE.01/MSO