FNUS72 KTAE 131027
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 221...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
627 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM EDT
DUE TO A COMBINATION OF LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND HIGH ERC VALUES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME REASONS...

.DISCUSSION...RED FLAG CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
DUE TO A COMBINATION OF LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH AND HIGH ERC.
THE WIND COMPONENT WILL ALSO BE CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA. IT WILL
ALSO BE DRY AGAIN ON TUESDAY WITH LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH EXPECTED
AND HIGH ERCS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...SO A WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...NO FOG IS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION..........70.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........37     25     13     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     72     76     79
RH..............41     28     22     19
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 7    N 7    N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
DISPERSION..........7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........9      5      5      6      7      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     74     64     57     53     49
RH..............20     26     40     54     62     69
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 5    N 5    N 4    N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........69.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........7      7      7      7      10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     48     61     74     79     82
RH..............80     82     50     30     24     21
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    NE 5   NE 6   NE 5   N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      15     15     15     10

$$
FORECASTER...DON VAN DYKE
REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130513.BURNU.01/TAE