FNUS71 KAKQ 141130 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR CHINQUAPIN EAST RX FIRE...TNC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 730 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS. MUCH WARMER WEATHER RETURNS WEDNESDAY AND THE REST OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............10 10 15 15 20 25 25 25 30 40 40 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................37 42 49 54 59 63 65 67 68 68 68 RH..................90 76 58 46 37 32 29 27 26 27 27 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.1 4.6 5.2 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 20 FT WIND DIR......N N NW NW NW NW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N NW NW NW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....5 5 7 9 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 9 23 41 47 50 52 56 56 60 LVORI...............5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................2 2 3 30 44 47 48 50 50 55 55 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............65 65 65 72 72 72 72 72 72 68 68 68 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................67 64 61 58 55 53 51 50 50 50 50 50 RH..................30 35 42 49 55 61 68 71 74 77 83 86 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.0 2.4 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......SW S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W SW SW S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 12 10 9 7 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 VRATE KT-FT/1000....44 24 8 6 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 LVORI...............1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 ADI.................34 23 8 7 5 4 4 5 5 6 9 10 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3200 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 24 TO 28 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............63 63 63 50 50 50 34 34 34 33 33 33 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 53 56 60 66 71 76 79 81 84 85 86 RH..................86 86 80 72 61 53 48 45 46 41 40 39 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.2 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 12 13 13 14 15 15 16 16 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 15 17 18 18 18 20 21 22 24 26 28 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 3 4 5 6 7 18 29 42 54 66 77 LVORI...............5 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................12 14 15 16 20 20 28 37 46 55 64 71 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 FORECASTER...MCGEE REQUESTED BY...BOBBY CLONTZ TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130514.CHINQ.01/AKQ