FNUS75 KBOU 141030 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARAPAHO...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 430 AM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS BUT LIMITED RAINFALL. SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD BECOME GOOD BY 1100. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 15000-16000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1400. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........88%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIXING HEIGHT.......13300 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 9-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 1300-1700 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4900 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 11500-12500 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 10000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARAPAHO. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/14-04 12 0 0 40 74 S 3 3 4 1 W 12 150 SW 7 936 P 05/14-05 12 0 0 38 76 S 5 5 3 1 W 13 128 SSW 6 728 P 05/14-06 21 0 0 39 70 SSE 5 5 3 1 W 13 106 SSW 6 519 P 05/14-07 21 0 0 44 57 S 5 5 3 1 W 12 2546 SW 6 16097 P 05/14-08 21 0 0 51 43 S 5 5 3 1 W 9 4987 W 7 31675 P 05/14-09 21 0 0 59 33 SSW 5 5 3 1 W 8 7427 WNW 7 47253 F 05/14-10 21 0 0 64 28 SW 6 6 3 1 W 8 9941 WNW 7 57685 F 05/14-11 21 0 0 67 26 WSW 8 8 3 1 WNW 7 12455 WNW 7 68116 G 05/14-12 44 10 2 69 24 W 9 15 3 2 NW 7 14969 WNW 6 78548 G 05/14-13 44 10 2 71 22 W 10 17 3 2 NW 7 15594 WNW 7 92960 G 05/14-14 44 10 2 72 21 W 12 18 3 2 NW 7 16219 W 8 107373 V 05/14-15 46 10 2 72 21 W 12 18 3 2 NW 7 16844 W 8 121785 V 05/14-16 46 10 2 71 21 W 9 16 3 2 NW 8 15664 W 8 106431 V 05/14-17 46 10 2 70 22 W 7 7 3 2 NW 9 14484 WNW 7 91076 G 05/14-18 48 10 2 67 24 W 5 5 3 2 NW 10 13304 WNW 7 75722 G 05/14-19 48 10 2 62 29 WSW 3 3 3 2 NW 10 10723 WNW 6 58990 F 05/14-20 48 10 2 57 36 SW 2 2 3 2 NW 10 8143 WNW 6 42259 F 05/14-21 48 10 2 52 45 SSW 2 2 3 2 NW 9 5562 WNW 6 25527 P 05/14-22 48 10 2 48 55 S 2 2 3 2 NW 7 3873 W 5 17608 P 05/14-23 48 10 2 45 64 S 2 2 3 2 WNW 6 2184 SW 5 9689 P 05/15-00 39 2 0 43 70 SSE 2 2 3 1 WNW 6 495 SSW 5 1771 P 05/15-01 39 2 0 43 71 SSE 2 2 3 1 WNW 8 461 SSW 5 1722 P 05/15-02 39 2 0 42 74 SSE 3 3 3 1 W 12 427 SSW 5 1673 P 05/15-03 39 2 0 41 76 S 5 5 3 1 W 15 394 SSW 5 1624 P 05/15-04 39 2 0 38 83 S 5 5 3 1 W 17 370 SSW 6 1803 P 05/15-05 39 2 0 36 88 S 6 6 3 1 W 17 347 SSW 7 1982 P 05/15-06 31 10 2 36 85 S 6 6 3 1 W 17 324 S 8 2161 P 05/15-07 31 10 2 40 70 S 6 6 3 1 W 18 791 SSW 7 4739 P 05/15-08 31 10 2 46 54 SW 5 5 3 1 WNW 18 1258 WSW 7 7317 P 05/15-09 31 10 2 53 39 SW 5 5 3 1 WNW 18 1725 W 7 9895 P 05/15-10 31 10 2 58 33 WSW 6 6 3 1 WNW 20 4850 W 8 40217 F 05/15-11 31 10 2 60 30 WSW 8 8 3 1 WNW 22 7976 W 9 70538 G 05/15-12 47 24 5 62 29 W 10 16 3 3 WNW 23 11102 WNW 10 100860 V 05/15-13 47 24 5 64 27 W 12 17 3 3 WNW 21 11695 W 10 107542 V 05/15-14 47 24 5 65 26 W 13 18 3 3 W 18 12289 W 10 114224 V 05/15-15 47 24 5 65 27 W 13 20 3 3 W 17 12883 W 10 120906 V 05/15-16 47 24 5 64 28 W 13 20 3 3 W 21 11438 W 12 113939 V 05/15-17 47 24 5 62 30 W 13 20 3 3 W 25 9993 W 13 106972 V 05/15-18 47 22 4 59 33 W 13 20 3 3 W 29 8548 W 14 100006 V 05/15-19 47 22 4 56 37 WSW 12 17 3 3 W 29 5836 WSW 12 67686 G 05/15-20 47 22 4 52 43 WSW 10 15 3 3 W 29 3123 SW 10 35367 P 05/15-21 47 22 4 48 50 SW 8 8 3 3 W 28 410 SW 8 3047 P 05/15-22 47 22 4 45 55 SW 7 7 3 3 W 28 364 SW 9 2852 P 05/15-23 47 22 4 42 60 SSW 5 5 3 3 W 28 317 SSW 10 2656 P 05/16-00 29 3 1 40 65 SSW 3 3 3 1 W 29 270 SSW 10 2461 P 05/16-01 29 3 1 40 64 SSW 2 2 3 1 W 29 274 SSW 10 2391 P 05/16-02 29 3 1 40 64 S 2 2 3 1 W 29 277 SSW 9 2322 P 05/16-03 29 3 1 39 67 S 2 2 3 1 W 29 281 SSW 9 2252 P 05/16-04 29 3 1 36 75 S 3 3 3 1 W 30 263 SSW 9 2042 P 05/16-05 29 3 1 34 82 S 5 5 3 1 W 31 244 SSW 8 1832 P 05/16-06 31 4 1 34 82 S 8 8 3 1 W 31 226 SSW 8 1621 P 05/16-07 31 4 1 39 67 S 8 8 3 1 W 29 974 SSW 8 7393 P 05/16-08 31 4 1 46 51 S 8 8 3 1 W 26 1722 SW 9 13165 P 05/16-09 31 4 1 52 41 SW 9 14 3 1 W 23 2470 SW 9 18937 P 05/16-10 31 4 1 57 34 SW 9 14 3 1 W 22 5556 SW 12 69188 G 05/16-11 31 4 1 59 32 SW 9 14 3 1 WSW 22 8641 SW 14 119438 V 05/16-12 45 3 1 61 30 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 22 11726 WSW 16 169688 E 05/16-13 45 3 1 63 27 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 23 12279 WSW 17 187480 E 05/16-14 45 3 1 64 26 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 24 12831 WSW 18 205271 E 05/16-15 45 3 1 65 25 WSW 13 20 3 1 WSW 26 13383 WSW 20 223062 E 05/16-16 45 3 1 65 24 WSW 13 20 3 1 WSW 26 12454 WSW 18 203765 E 05/16-17 45 3 1 64 25 WSW 13 20 3 1 WSW 28 11524 WSW 18 184469 E 05/16-18 36 3 1 62 26 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 28 10594 WSW 18 165172 E 05/16-19 36 3 1 58 30 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 26 7234 WSW 15 111423 V 05/16-20 36 3 1 53 35 WSW 12 17 3 1 SW 26 3873 SW 12 57674 F 05/16-21 36 3 1 49 40 SW 8 8 3 1 SW 25 513 SW 9 3925 P 05/16-22 36 3 1 45 46 SW 8 8 3 1 SW 26 423 SW 9 3341 P 05/16-23 36 3 1 43 49 SW 8 8 3 1 SW 28 332 SSW 10 2757 P 05/17-00 15 2 0 41 53 S 7 7 3 1 SW 30 242 SSW 10 2174 P 05/17-01 15 2 0 40 54 S 6 6 3 1 SW 30 248 SSW 12 2427 P 05/17-02 15 2 0 40 54 S 5 5 3 1 SW 31 255 SSW 12 2680 P 05/17-03 15 2 0 39 55 S 5 5 3 1 SW 31 262 SSW 13 2932 P 05/17-04 15 2 0 37 59 S 6 6 3 1 SW 30 260 SSW 14 3002 P 05/17-05 15 2 0 36 61 S 7 7 3 1 SW 29 258 SSW 14 3071 P 05/17-06 19 2 0 37 59 S 8 8 3 1 SW 28 256 SSW 14 3140 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RPK REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130514.ARAPA.01/BOU