FNUS71 KCTP 140931 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR WSG RX - SGL 82...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 531 AM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ALLEGHENIES THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH THROUGHOUT THE DAY. RH/S WILL BE IN THE 35 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE OR HIGHER FOR MOST OF THE DAY...ONLY BRIEFLY TOUCHING 34. MID TO HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS THE DAY CONTINUES DUE TO AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MAKE SHOWERS POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6200-7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............55 60 65 70 73 74 77 80 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 48 50 53 55 55 54 54 RH..................47 40 37 36 34 36 39 41 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......5.2 5.6 6.2 6.8 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....13 13 14 15 16 15 14 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............83 87 85 82 79 75 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 53 51 50 48 48 RH..................44 50 57 65 73 82 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........5800 4300 1500 100 400 200 TRANSPORT WIND......W 12 SW 10 S 9 S 9 SE 9 S 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0800...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1400...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 30 TO 37 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............68 64 64 64 67 67 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................51 55 62 68 73 75 RH..................83 79 65 56 50 48 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 9 SW 12 SW 15 W 16 W 17 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)........200 600 2100 2900 2900 3900 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7 W 16 W 23 W 28 W 32 W 36 LAL.................1 3 3 3 4 4 HAINES INDEX........2 3 3 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...CERU REQUESTED BY...ITLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130514.WSGRX.01/CTP