FNUS75 KCYS 141513
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MTN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
913 AM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FOR THE BURN AREA...

ISOLATED HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 2 PM THROUGH 8 PM WITH LITTLE IF ANY
RAIN...THOUGH WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS IN THE VICINITY OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER FROM WEST TO
NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME LIGHT SOUTH TONIGHT AS LOW
LEVEL RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT.

ON WEDNESDAY...AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED
WITH A 40 TO 60 PERCENT COVERAGE AFTER NOON. SOUTH WINDS IN THE
MORNING WILL BACK TO SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO
12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH...ALONG WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN TODAY DUE TO INCREASED
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND DEWPOINTS...AS WELL AS COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND MORE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    30 MPH AFTER 3 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (127900-209300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 PM MDT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WIND 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT THROUGH 8 PM MDT...DECREASING
                    TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (3700-86000 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO
                    18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (50000-119200 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...RUBIN
REQUESTED BY...DARON REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.BALDM.01/CYS