FNUS75 KCYS 141516
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESTERBROOK BROADCAST BURN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
916 AM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0855 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SITE THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING...THEN A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA WITH WINDS
BECOMING WEAK AND NORTHERLY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL BE
IN THE 15-20 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL SWITCH AROUND TO THE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT BUT REMAIN WEAK. INCREASING MOISTURE IN THE
SOUTHEAST WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL CAUSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE LARAMIE RANGE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER ON WEDNESDAY...MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH THROUGH AROUND 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH-TO-NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH THROUGH
                    REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-TO-SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 600
                    FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH AFTER NOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR IN THE MORNING THEN GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FINCH
REQUESTED BY...JODI STONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.ESTER.01/CYS