FNUS75 KCYS 141632
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN CREEK RX...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1032 AM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MDT ON MAY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WESTERLY WIND GUSTS TO 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE A WEAK FRONT MOVES OVER THE SITE DURING THE
EVENING. WINDS WILL BE WEAK NORTHEASTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT
OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER ON WEDNESDAY
ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WHILE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE MORNING...THEY
WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING NORTH 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 400 FT
                    AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY THROUGH THE LATE MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 10000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...FINCH
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130514.MORGA.01/CYS